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Town Team December Mortgage Outlook: Calm Before the New Year?

  • Zachary Schwartz
  • Dec 5, 2025
  • 3 min read

Santa stays informed on the mortgage market because of Town Team Mortgage

As we close out 2025, the mortgage market is entering a period of relative calm. After months of volatility driven by inflation reports, Federal Reserve decisions, and shifting housing demand, December is shaping up to be a month of stability. For buyers, sellers, and homeowners, this pause offers a chance to reassess strategies and prepare for the opportunities that 2026 may bring.




📉 Mortgage Rates: Holding Steady After Autumn Swings

  • 30-Year Fixed Rates: After dipping in November, average rates have leveled off near their lowest point since early summer.

  • 15-Year Fixed Loans: Shorter-term loans remain attractive, with rates consistently lower than 30-year options.

  • Adjustable-Rate Mortgages (ARMs): While ARMs saw renewed interest earlier this year, the current environment favors fixed-rate products.


🏡 Housing Inventory: More Choices for Buyers

Inventory is higher compared to last year, giving buyers more options and reducing bidding wars.

  • Seasonal Trends: Motivated sellers are keeping homes on the market longer, creating opportunities for buyers willing to act during the holidays.

  • Regional Differences: Suburban markets are seeing stronger inventory growth than urban cores.


🔮 The Fed’s Next Move: What to Expect in 2026

The Federal Reserve’s late October rate cut provided relief, but policymakers remain cautious. Inflation data scheduled for mid-December will be critical in shaping expectations for 2026.


👩‍💼 What This Means for Buyers

  • Negotiating Power: More inventory and fewer competing offers give buyers leverage.

  • Pre-Approval Advantage: A fully underwritten pre-approval from Town Team Mortgage sets you apart.

  • Timing Strategy: Acting now means avoiding the spring rush.


🔄 Refinancing Opportunities for Homeowners

  • Rate Comparison: Even a half-point drop can save hundreds per month.

  • Breakeven Analysis: Town Team Mortgage can help calculate recovery timelines.

  • Debt Consolidation: Refinancing can improve monthly cash flow.


🏠 Sellers: Standing Out in a Crowded Market

  • Pricing Realistically: Homes priced in line with comps move quickly.

  • Presentation Matters: Staging and professional photos make a difference.

  • Buyer Affordability: Factor in taxes, HOA dues, and insurance costs.


🎁 Holiday Market Tip

December may feel quiet, but serious buyers are still out there. Sellers can benefit from motivated offers, while buyers may find better deals with less competition.


✅ Holiday Homeowner Checklist

The holiday season is not just about celebrations; it’s also the perfect time to prepare your home and finances for the new year. Here’s a practical checklist to keep you ahead:

  • Winterize Your Home:

    • Check insulation and weatherstripping to reduce heating costs.

    • Service your furnace and replace filters.

    • Protect pipes from freezing with insulation or heat tape.

  • Budget for Property Taxes:

    • Many municipalities send tax bills in December. Review your escrow account or set aside funds to avoid surprises.

  • Review Insurance Coverage:

    • Confirm your homeowner’s policy covers winter risks like ice damage or burst pipes.

    • Update coverage if you’ve made renovations or added valuable items.

  • Plan for Spring Listing:

    • If you’re considering selling in 2026, use the winter months to tackle small repairs.

    • Declutter and organize now so your home is market-ready when spring buyers arrive.

  • Energy Efficiency Check:

    • Swap out holiday lights for LED options.

    • Schedule an energy audit to identify savings opportunities before peak winter bills hit.

  • Financial Tune-Up:

    • Review your mortgage statement and consider refinancing if rates are lower.

    • Set housing-related goals for 2026, whether it’s saving for a move, upgrading your current home, or paying down debt.

📌 The Bottom Line

December offers a rare moment of calm in the mortgage market. Rates are steady, inventory is up, and the Fed is in wait-and-see mode. Whether you’re buying, refinancing, or selling, now is the time to prepare for 2026 with confidence.

Town Team Mortgage is here to guide you through every step — from pre-approval to closing — ensuring you make the most of this unique market moment.

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